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Chinese real estate developers from financial innovation -- to the State Council Development Research Center financial Deputy Director of the Institute for, tutor of doctoral students Bashusong Professor
——中国房地产业发展商离不开金融创新――访国务院发展研究中心金融研究所副所长、博士生导师巴曙松教授

作者:《中国建设报》     来源:realestate.gov.cn     发表时间:2006-06-24     字号:    

real estate industry is a typical capital-intensive industries, and financial closely linked. Recently, the General Office of the State Council transmitted the Ministry of Construction and nine departments "on the adjustment of housing prices stable housing supply structure views," reporters interviewed on issues related to the State Council Development Research Center financial Deputy Director of the Institute for, tutor of doctoral students Bashusong professors.

Reporter : Last year's Boao Forum, real estate, what do you think the real estate industry in China is the key financial change. Now you have anything to change this view? Indeed domestic developers in the past two years has made great progress on the financing channels, developers might also determine funding does not seem to be too many problems.

Bashusong : real estate is a typical capital-intensive enterprise, industry and the general financing of a significant difference, we have often said that the greatest factor in the real estate industry is the most important : location, location, location. Indeed, from the real estate market regulation in recent years shows that the most important factor into relationships : funds of funds. The real estate industry not consider financial issues, which is the initial stage of industry specific period of the product. It can be said that in a long period, change the Chinese real estate industry, a key factor in the financial, this view, I think that will continue for some time.

real estate industry financial innovations, developers are not limited to domestic financing innovation. In fact, real estate developers from the financing situation, the statistics from the People's Bank calibre of view, bank loans in the real estate financing throughout the proportion has fallen to around the international average fluctuations, which is a big step forward, one could say that macro-control to guide them. However, the developers are also large differences in the status of funds, sources of funds, of course, takes a large number of listed companies, but many small and medium-sized real estate enterprises still very tense funds, the recent introduction of a number of regulatory policy gradually, one of the main thread of funds.

Reporter : 2006, the domestic stock market is in a prosperous, it was said that the stock market will now focus on decentralized funds dropped in the real estate industry. What do you think? If a triage, this understanding should be based on what kind of phenomenon judgement.

Bashusong : the real estate and stock market comparison, because both the asset markets, both between the wave either rise alternative relations, such as a market funds from one market to another, but also to promote mutual relations, because both assets spread in mobility, the expected appreciation of the renminbi has assets have appreciated trends. The real estate market and stock market liquidity, who depend on these two relations dominated. The Hong Kong market is the real estate market and stock market interaction models in the market, real estate companies once dominated, the performance of real estate companies to the stock prices rise, the wealth effect from stock market has affected the real estate market, but later as the Hong Kong listed company structure improvement Mainland manufacturing and resource categories listed companies increased, the situation will gradually change. In this interaction, but also pay special attention to preventing the economic bubble.

from basic view is that the market depends on two cost comparison between the earnings risk. Strong regional real estate market is hot, we can only say that in some cities, the real estate market has been lower than the overall rate of the stock market, but there are some cities, real estate integrated yield is higher than the stock market.

Reporter : new round of macro-control measures have been introduced to the specific, the issue has been discussed more Shoufu a shocking but it seems more reasonable results. Discriminating between different structures and different geographical serve as a good signal, you evaluate this?

Bashusong : Shoufu from micro-banks operate on different levels is the credit status of customers, different types of projects carried out by a risk identification, credit conditions poor, high-risk projects, Shoufu should be higher in order to avoid banks to reimbursement risks. The significance of this policy at the macro level, because now most of the consumers purchase through bank loans, the increase will be moderate increase Shoufu purchase threshold, particularly for the second set of housing threshold. The actual implementation of this policy more important. Because banks are often able to purchase second housing loans, often repayment capacity is relatively strong, relatively low credit risk, the risk to banks in terms of pricing can be lower, but this is subordinated to the need to consider the needs of real estate regulation.

Reporter : 2,006 real estate of the greatest challenges facing the financial sector should be?

Bashusong : not only real estate finance, the financial industry is facing the problem of excess liquidity in the excess liquidity of the financial environment, while under control of the need to curb excessive price increases, the other hand excess liquidity need to find channels to absorb. in the real estate market absorption requires the opening of new channels, the bond market development, multi-level development of the capital market is necessary to introduce funds for the promotion of economic growth to more positive areas. Real estate finance itself can innovation, for example through the form of REITs, real estate investment as a function of assets separated, attracting some mobility.

Excerpted from the "China-Daily" 2006.06.12 reporter Liu month

  房地产行业是典型的资金密集型行业,与金融紧密相连。近日,国务院办公厅转发了建设部等九部门《关于调整住房供应结构稳定住房价格的意见》,记者就相关问题采访了国务院发展研究中心金融研究所副所长、博士生导师巴曙松教授。

  记者:去年的博鳌房地产论坛上,您认为变革中的中国房地产行业关键在于金融变革。现在您对这个看法是否有所改变?事实上这两年国内开发商在融资渠道上的进步很大,开发商的实力也决定了资金似乎不是太大的问题。

  巴曙松:房地产是典型的资金密集型企业,融资特征与一般行业有很大的差异,大家以前往往会说,房地产行业最为重要的前三位因素是:位置,位置,位置。实际上,从近几年的房地产市场调控看,最为重要的前三位因素变为:资金,资金,资金。原来房地产行业不太考虑金融问题,那是在行业起步阶段的特定时期的产物。可以说,在相当长的时期内,变革中的中国房地产行业,关键因素在金融,这个看法,我认为会持续一段时间。

  房地产行业的金融创新,并不仅仅局限于国内开发商的融资创新。实际上,从房地产开发商的融资情况看,从中国人民银行的统计口径看,银行贷款在整个房地产资金来源中的比重,已经下降到国际平均水平左右波动,这是一个很大的进步,可以说是宏观调控给引导出来的。但是,开发商的资金状况差异也很大,资金来源渠道广的大型上市公司当然要好一些,但是依然有不少中小房地产企业资金十分紧张,近期陆续出台的一些调控政策,主线之一就是资金。

  记者:2006年以来,国内股市一片繁荣,有人说股市将分散目前集中投在房地产行业的资金。您认为呢?如果说有所分流,这样的认识应该是基于一个什么样的现象判断。

  巴曙松:把房地产和股票市场进行对比,是因为两者都是资产市场,两者之间既有此消彼涨的替代关系,例如一个市场的资金退出到另外一个市场,也有相互的推动关系,这是因为两者都是资产,在流动性泛滥、人民币有升值预期的情况下,资产都有升值的趋势。房地产市场与股票市场的资金流动关系,取决于这两种关系谁占据主导地位。香港市场是房地产市场与股市相互推动的典型,在香港市场上,房地产的上市公司一度占据主导地位,房地产公司业绩的上涨带动股市上涨,财富效应会从股市波及到房地产市场,只是后来随着香港上市公司的结构的改善,内地的制造业和资源类上市公司增多了,这种状况才逐步改变。在这种相互推动中,也特别注意防范经济的泡沫。

  从基本面来看,实际上这取决于两种市场之间的风险收益成本的对比。房地产市场的热点是区域性很强,我们只能说在有的城市,房地产市场的综合收益率已经低于股市,但是也有一些城市,房地产的综合收益率是高于股市的。

  记者:新一轮的宏观调控的具体措施已经出台了,讨论较多的首付问题有了一个让人吃惊但是似乎比较合理的结果。区分对待不同的结构与不同地域成为一个好的信号,您对此有何......More

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